Overdrive Extra

Max Heine

The pros and cons of bringing ‘Moneyball’ to trucking

| February 16, 2014

You might’ve seen the 2011 movie “Moneyball.” It’s about a nerd who convinces a baseball team manager to draft unnoticed players based on the way their stats indicate they could contribute to a winning team.

This celebration of data power is often cited as a comparison in articles talking about what’s come to be known as predictive analytics. You might never hear the term, but the practice is likely to be showing – if it’s not already – at a big fleet near you.  

Jonah Hill plays the character in “Moneyball” who convinces the manager played by Brad Pitt that he should recruit players based on a close examination of their personal data.

Jonah Hill plays the character in “Moneyball” who convinces the manager played by Brad Pitt that he should recruit players based on a close examination of their personal statistical data.

“Moneyball” is based on a true story about the Oakland Athletics, whose turnaround led to other baseball teams focusing more on players’ data. Turns out that much of the human resources world has been using predictive analytics for years. Now, with companies harvesting data as fast as it sprouts – and you know it’s sprouting exponentially (think CSA) – there’s even more attention being paid.

Trucking might be behind the curve, but it’s catching up. Some fleets are looking to improve retention by identifying good drivers before they leave, and to improve safety by identifying drivers whose data indicates they’re ripe for a wreck.

My colleague Todd Dills wrote last year about one of the leaders in this niche, FleetRisk Advisors, which has been highly effective with its clients. I, too, have been researching how services such as this are changing trucking. In particular, I’m wondering if any of the industry’s good intentions (longer retention, improved safety) have had effects that drivers would consider not so good.


Data analysis use to predict …. driver happiness?

FleetRisk Advisors' predictive analysis engine -- think of it as the Moneyball approach to carrier risk management -- can help carriers reduce turnover, the company ...

After all, fleets using predictive analytics are looking at more than accident history. To cite just a few of the data wells being tapped, they’re considering ECM readouts (hard braking, lane departure, etc.) and less obvious things, like whether getting too few miles is creating too much financial stress, in turn making a driver more accident-prone.

Has anyone experienced their fleet taking pre-emptive action – for good or for bad – due to data-based predictions? Like being sent back for remedial driver training? Being referred to counseling? Being suspended or fired? Conversations with management that pry into personal territory?

Sound off here or write me at mheine@randallreilly.com.

  • haller

    As far as I am aware of, trucking companies ONLY record the bad or negative things a truck driver does. I don’t know of any trucking company that keeps a file on all the good things their drivers do, and of all the things they do without getting paid. I’m guessing management and owners think they are the only ones worth their paycheck. We’ve all seen the “How is my driving” signs on the back of trucks and trailers with a phone number. Did you ever call that number, give it a try. So a car driven by a young woman who is texting comes into the truck lane, the truck driver sees it happening as he does 10 times per week and moves over onto part of the berm and toots his horn to get the car’s attention, did the truck driver save her life, YES. Should she be driving, NO, will she change her driving habits, NO. Does anyone say good going truck driver, NO. Is the DOT notified, NO. Believe me most truck drivers go unnoticed unless the driver of a car is having a bad day. UNITED we stand, divided we fall. Bring back Jimmy Hoffa or some kind of national truck drivers union….

  • Barton van Buskirk

    Tyson transportation is grading all drivers now.. In general driving is a piece rate based pay. Soo most drivers that don’t work well don’t drive in the industry very long .Soo in general moneyball isn’t going to work..
    before moneyball or the first moneyball if a driver lasted 5 years that means he would most likely stay in the industry ..

  • ironage

    Computer monitoring, cameras facing the driver, CSA 2010 etc… etc…. All of this regulation and harrassment for a job (OTR) that, when you boil it all down, pays minimum wage or less and keeps you away from your life and your family for long periods of time.

    But they can’t for the life of them…figure out why there is a severe driver shortage.

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